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Training Log: blairtrewin

In the last 7 days:

activity # timemileskm+m
  Run6 5:02:30 28.52(10:36) 45.9(6:35) 32012 /15c80%
  Pilates1 45:00
  Pool running1 45:00 0.43(1:43:27) 0.7(1:04:17)
  Swimming1 39:00 0.62(1:02:46) 1.0(39:00)
  Total9 7:11:30 29.58 47.6 32012 /15c80%

Friday May 27 #

8 AM

Pool running 45:00 [3] 0.7 km (1:04:17 / km)

Pool session. Not really in the mood this morning but settled into it, more or less. Not really tapering for this weekend - I'm running tomorrow afternoon but the competition part is reasonably incidental (my main role is controller for the long).
1 PM

Run 31:00 [3] 5.3 km (5:51 / km)

Went out from home at lunchtime (after a morning false start), on a loop out around Darebin Parklands (where the bush kinder was in action) and John Cain Park, where the building seems to have just about finished. Definitely struggling with the back today and had to stretch it out a couple of times, but made it through, which I'll settle for.

Headed up to Beechworth tonight, climbing into rain showers on the way out of Tarrawingee and remembering climbing into snow showers (and then more than showers) on the equivalent weekend 22 years ago.

Thursday May 26 #

7 AM

Run 1:05:00 [3] 11.1 km (5:51 / km)

Ventured out for the first time for a while into the distant corners of Far Kew (whose soon-to-be-former state MP wins today's prize for self-awareness). Never a great run but kept plugging away. In amongst streets I was clearing, found a nice pocket of bush behind Kew High (in addition to the well-trodden ground along the river), although came back more directly than I'd planned after realising that I'd over-committed for a planned 60 minutes.

Advanced to 2008 today, a time when possibilities beckoned (before everyone worked out that Kevin Rudd wasn't anywhere near as good at people-managing as he was at campaigning). He did a fair bit of campaigning this time round (including, by all accounts, quite a bit in Chinese-language communities in places like Chisholm, which seems to have worked judging by the double-digit swings in the likes of Box Hill).

Wednesday May 25 #

8 AM

Run 47:00 [3] 8.1 km (5:48 / km)

Took advantage of needing to drop some Ged Kearney signs from Saturday back to her office to extend my boundaries a bit on the north side of Bell Street, in the block between St. Georges and Gilbert. This run generally felt like hard work - starting with a long gradual climb is probably the least favourable scenario for my back - but did start moving better in the second half.

Today's number was a nice even one - the run brought me to the 2000 mark. The most significant thing I can remember (in a national historical sense) from 2000 was the introduction of the GST, so it was appropriate that today's run was about 10% longer than this session usually is. It would have been more appropriate still had I reached this business one street earlier than I actually did (although I guess I hadn't reached the end of the street when I saw the sign so technically I was still on 1996 at that point).

Tuesday May 24 #

8 AM

Run intervals 12:00 [4] 2.0 km (6:00 / km)

All Nations intervals on a crisp morning. Felt better than recent attempts but relatively slow (possibly because of the aforementioned crispness) - out to 66 early on, although ended up with 64/60 for the last couple.

Run warm up/down 27:00 [3] 4.0 km (6:45 / km)

Warm-up and down. As usual, a grind going out, somewhat better coming back. Traffic was unusually heavy this morning, possibly because of the current closure of the Mernda line (the Bell Street level crossing is no more), probably not because of spillover issues from the CBD, where it was definitely better to be on two wheels than four (it was a very smooth ride in). That, in turn, was because of road closures associated with the fire at Goldfingers. (A large fire at a strip club which had recently gone out of business; strangely, for reasons I can't fathom, the arson squad are taking an interest).

Monday May 23 #

7 AM

Pilates 45:00 [3]

Monday morning Pilates. The regular instructor (also my regular physio) is away for three weeks so we had a stand-in, who seemed happy with how I was going. Not sure I felt quite so happy about my own performances but it was OK enough.

Forgot to mention the most memorable thing I saw on a ballot paper on Saturday - one where the voter had written a big 'Z' and 'NO WEAPONS TO UKRAINE NAZIS' (among other things). You'd expect that someone with such views voted for one of the fringe far-right groups but it was actually the Socialist Alliance.
8 AM

Swimming 39:00 [2] 1.0 km (39:00 / km)

Onwards to the pool, with chilly low cloud but no fog. Another so-so swim which never really got out of second gear, or perhaps I was just distracted by the thought of Pauline Hanson being knocked off by Legalise Cannabis (although I've had a closer look at the numbers since and suspect she won't be).

Noticed on the ride in to work that the UAP "3%" electronic billboard at the corner of Spencer and La Trobe is still there. Perhaps they want to remind us all of how much of the vote they got.

Sunday May 22 #

12 PM

Run race ((orienteering)) 1:19:30 [3] *** 8.5 km (9:21 / km) +320m 7:52 / km

As a non-drinker I don't have experience of hangovers, but I suspect they're probably a bit like the way I felt this morning, after a very late night (by my standards) and eating far too much salty food. Left it as late as I decently could to get out to the Glenlyon event in the hope that I might be more awake, but went in with few expectations.

This lived down to expectations - not much energy and not really running hills (of which there were a few, although not as many as there can be here). Reasonably accurate in the first half but in the second half lost a bit of time on #8 (overshot) and #10 (didn't realise how far down the hill it was), then managed to overshoot the last control as well. Was as far down the list as I deserved to be. Area feels thicker than I remember, although Bruce's time suggest it isn't.

Didn't have much of a run the way after the 2007 election either (though I miss the days when a 38.54 10k was a bad run).

It looks increasingly likely that Labor will form a narrow majority; giving likely seats to the current leaders, there are probably eight genuine toss-ups (six Labor-Liberal, one Labor-Green) and Labor needs to win two of them. (Here I'm counting Brisbane, Bennelong, Gilmore, Deakin, Menzies, Lyons, Sturt and Moore). Early indications from counting today are that postal votes are not skewing as conservative as they have in the past (their historic pattern is factored into current projections), which may strengthen Labor's position further.

Some of the geographic sweeps are remarkable; depending on how the remaining doubtfuls fall, it is within the realms of possibility that the Liberals could hold no seats in Adelaide or Perth, none which border on Sydney Harbour, and none in Melbourne west of Eastlink. They've also lost most of their remaining moderates in the House (although there are still some in the Senate), which may or may not accelerate the process of trying to follow the US Republican lead, except that being a party that writes off most urban areas and becomes a party of regional areas and outer suburbs is going to struggle to put together a majority in Australia. Partly that's a function of population distribution (Australia is more urbanised), partly it's a function of Australia not really having the racial identity politics which mean that even in cities, large majorities of whites vote Republican in the Deep South, and partly it's that we don't have industrial rust belts on the same scale or in strategic locations - in the US, Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania are crucial swing states, here it's Hunter, Hunter and Hunter...

The Victorian Liberals also seem to keep assuming that everyone else hates Dan Andrews as much as they do. There were swings from Labor to One Nation/UAP (with the Liberal vote basically static) in numerous seats in Melbourne's outer north, west and southeast, but none did anything other than turn 15% Labor seats into 10% ones (or, in La Trobe's case, strengthen its Liberal margin). I could never work out why anyone was expecting an anti-lockdown backlash in Corangamite or McEwen when all of the former and two-thirds of the latter were outside greater Melbourne.

The most entertaining result so far is that all the millions Clive Palmer spent, on national Senate vote share, UAP is currently narrowly trailing Legalise Cannabis Australia. This will be relegated to second most entertaining result if the aforementioned Legalise Cannabis Australia manage to beat Pauline Hanson to the last Queensland Senate seat (an outside chance but not a zero one).

6 PM


A couple of random sporting takes on the election noted by others on social media:

(a) in the AFL era, every conservative government (federal or state/territory) which has stood for re-election on a weekend when Essendon has lost has been defeated itself - most famously on Preliminary Final weekend 1999. (I would like to thank my football team for their sacrifice here).

(b) the Canberra Raiders defeated the team supported by the Prime Minister on two successive weekends. (There's a bit of an asterisk on this - Scott Morrison is still technically PM until Anthony Albanese is sworn in tomorrow - but you know what I mean).

Saturday May 21 #

11 AM

Run 41:00 [3] 6.9 km (5:57 / km)

One of those days where the run was somewhat incidental to the day, and not surprisingly after several hours on my feet either setting up or handing out, it wasn't much good. Back was troublesome throughout and had to stop a number of times to settle it down.

The virtual wheel, for the second time in a row, came up with a location convenient to what I was doing (29), sending me down the road from my Northcote booth to finish off most of what I hadn't already done in Princes Hill, plus a bit extra in Royal Park. There have been times in the past when I have used election day runs to do a polling booth tour but there was only one this time, Princes Hill Primary (which must have been a nightmare for the parties to staff because there are so many entry points to the grounds). Most memorable sight here was two UAP people - absent from my booth, where even the Liberals (who got 8%) didn't turn up - sitting on the back of a ute, apparently unaware that their job was to engage voters and try to persuade them to their cause. Most likely their main interest was in getting a small piece of Clive Palmer's money (hopefully for them the cheque doesn't bounce).

Street numbers were perhaps a bit of an omen in the end - landed today on 1990, a year with a messy election result (which at one point looked like it might rest on voting delayed in north Queensland because of floods) but one which ended with a Labor win.

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