Discussion: Booth work

Libs very agressive in Curtin. Swamping anyones set up, more than last time for sure. It's going to be interesting....

Don't make me 'unfavourite' you if you're going to turn this orienteering forum into a political platform.

So that's 13+ electorates (out of how many?), that will determine the overall election result. You remind me how much I miss the importance of my vote varying widely depending on where I live: Not At All.

No Liberals at my booth, aggressive or otherwise (and the yellow peril were nowhere to be seen either). The Liberal candidate, who probably won't get far into double figures, got some unwelcome publicity for hanging out with Nazis on social media, although he didn't actually get disendorsed.

I was surprised to see One Nation where I voted. UAP were at the primary school instead.

I was surprised to see GetUp! given that they're not a registered political party (and TBH, I thought they'd now morphed into Climate 200...).
Now I have slight regret that I didn't accept their how-to-vote card, because I am curious to know how they would have sequenced Boothby's 10 candidates.

I didn't even register who was spruiking at my booth. I know Liberal and Labor were there but I ignored them all equally. Animal Justice Party could have been another one.

Nothing too exciting where I voted, The sausage and cake stalls and coffee cart were more interesting and getting far more attention than those handing out the how to vote cards. The Lib rep was already wandering around looking pretty uncomfortable at 10am on Sat morning.

In Canberra news today, Zed has suddenly become inaccessible to the media.

https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7747993/med...

Mind you Blair the result while very satisfying is not exactly an endorsement for Labor from Australia. Just less on the nose than ScMo and co. Still smart of Albo to make himself a small target after what happened last time with the scare campaign.

It does look like the results have fallen well to finally do something about climate change, thank goodness.

Your predictions in this entry don't make it clear whether the main list was changing seats or Labor gains. So, you can claim to be right on Brisbane and Ryan, for example.

Single-member electorates have been perceived as making a two-party system inevitable, but this election has made it clear that that's not the case. First, even under first-past-the-post, which two parties form the two-party system can differ by region. And second, under preferential voting, it's easier for a third party to switch with one of the first two.

Not having been paying attention to Australian politics when the Democrats were in their initial honeymoon, I wonder what changed, though, so that the teal independents have managed to make it into the lower house in a way the Democrats never did. Is it that the traditional left-right democratic socialism vs. Menzies-wing of the Liberal party is now a three-way educated liberals vs. rural and outer suburban conservatives vs. traditional Labor? So that we are in for a three-party system on a regional basis now that this election has 'legitimised' the teal movement? Or will it all fall apart back to the two-party system again once ScoMo is out? Will be an interesting election in 2025.

Will. When considering the future (2025), Dutton is tipped as the new Liberal leader. And Barnaby seems well entrenched with the Nats. Can't see it falling back to the two-party system that easily. Agree it will be interesting.

Will say more later, but I see this result as a large step to a US-style realignment where wealthy urban areas vote left/centre. Depending on how the doubtfuls fall, it is possible that the Liberals will win no seats in Adelaide, and none in Melbourne outside the outer eastern suburbs, and there is probably only one Sydney North Shore seat they can be sure of holding (although a second is probable and a third possible).

So, feet, will you vote in 2025?

Potentially 6 liberal losses in WA, 5 to Labor and 1 to an independent, double the number that Blair predicted. And so glad that scum-o's a***e-licker has gone from Tangney.

I had hoped, with the floods and fires and many good climate change stories coming from farmers, that the nats' vote would suffer but it seems the rednecks are digging in.

I miss the Democrats, they were almost a viable 3rd force in SA - admittedly that's 20 years ago...

Democrats were almost non-existent in our booth's senate count. Mind you, we had a whopping 236 voters (it was a dual electorate and we were the smaller one).

My list of seats was for Labor gains, although I did note at the bottom that I thought it was possible that Brisbane, Ryan and Higgins could be won by the Greens instead of Labor (Greens have definitely won Ryan, Brisbane is a toss-up between Greens and Labor).

Biggest miss on my list was Page, which looks like it could end up as close to the best performance (swing-wise) by the Coalition in mainland Australia (certainly the best in one of their own seats). This one really surprises me - maybe the Labor candidate (whose vote dropped 9%) had baggage that was known locally but didn't make the national media?

Definitely did not see Menzies coming - I guess this means I can no longer lay claim to "organising" the most successful Labor campaign in the City of Manningham area (in the 2002 state election, with a candidate who was drafted in at the last minute from the party office admin staff because no local could be found, and a budget which just about ran to printing the how-to-vote cards, Labor came within a few hundred votes of overturning a 15% margin in Doncaster). The extent of the organisation was to put together a roster to staff the booths, having to draw on people from elsewhere because at the time there were about 20 active Labor members in the electorate.

I dropped off the roll when I failed to vote in an ACT election in the early 2000s and have not qualified to re-enroll since. Australia doesn't make it that easy for its diaspora to vote.